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Developing cardiac digital twin populations powered by machine learning provides electrophysiological insights in conduction and repolarization

  • Shuang Qian*
  • , Devran Ugurlu
  • , Elliot Fairweather
  • , Laura Dal Toso
  • , Yu Deng
  • , Marina Strocchi
  • , Ludovica Cicci
  • , Richard E. Jones
  • , Hassan Zaidi
  • , Sanjay Prasad
  • , Brian P. Halliday
  • , Daniel Hammersley
  • , Xingchi Liu
  • , Gernot Plank
  • , Edward Vigmond
  • , Reza Razavi
  • , Alistair Young
  • , Pablo Lamata
  • , Martin Bishop
  • , Steven Niederer
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

27 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Large-cohort imaging and diagnostic studies often assess cardiac function but overlook underlying biological mechanisms. Cardiac digital twins (CDTs) are personalized physics-constrained and physiology-constrained in silico representations, uncovering multi-scale insights tied to these mechanisms. In this study, we constructed 3,461 CDTs from the UK Biobank and another 359 from an ischemic heart disease (IHD) cohort, using cardiac magnetic resonance images and electrocardiograms. We show here that sex-specific differences in QRS duration were fully explained by myocardial anatomy while their myocardial conduction velocity (CV) remains similar across sexes but changes with age and obesity, indicating myocardial tissue remodeling. Longer QTc intervals in obese females were attributed to larger delayed rectifier potassium conductance GKrKs. These findings were validated in the IHD cohort. Moreover, CV and GKrKs were associated with cardiac function, lifestyle and mental health phenotypes, and CV was also linked with adverse clinical outcomes. Our study demonstrates how CDT development at scale reveals biological insights across populations.

Original languageEnglish
Article number11437
Pages (from-to)624-636
Number of pages13
JournalNature Cardiovascular Research
Volume4
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - May 2025
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Humans
  • Female
  • Male
  • Machine Learning
  • Electrocardiography
  • Middle Aged
  • Heart Conduction System/physiopathology
  • Aged
  • Sex Factors
  • Heart Rate
  • Action Potentials
  • Adult
  • Magnetic Resonance Imaging
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Age Factors
  • Phenotype
  • Myocardial Ischemia/physiopathology
  • Obesity/physiopathology
  • Signal Processing, Computer-Assisted

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